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​​Oil Prices Hold Firm Ahead of US-China Trade Talks​

by jingji38

​​​Brent and WTI Futures Stable as Markets Await Key Negotiations​

Oil prices remained steady in Asian trading on Monday as investors remained cautious ahead of crucial US-China trade talks in London. Market focus also shifted to a series of key Chinese economic data releases, including inflation and trade figures, which could provide insights into global demand trends.

As of 21:00 Eastern Time (09:00 Beijing Time), ​​July-dated Brent crude futures​​ edged down ​​0.1% to 66.43 per barrel​,while​ ​WestTexasIntermediate(WTI)futures​ ​alsoslipped​ 0.164.52 per barrel​​.

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Despite the slight dip, both benchmarks posted ​​weekly gains of over 4%​​, supported by a ​​stronger-than-expected US jobs report​​ and renewed trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing, which eased concerns about a global economic slowdown.

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​Key Drivers Behind Oil Price Stability​

​1. Trade Talks Offer Hope for Demand Recovery​

Senior US officials, including ​​US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent​​ and ​​Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick​​, are set to meet with ​​Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng​​ in London to discuss ​​tariff reductions, export controls, and broader bilateral trade issues​​.

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These negotiations come amid ​​ongoing global economic uncertainty​​ and ​​supply chain tensions​​, with both sides seeking to stabilize relations strained by disputes over technology and rare earth resources.

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The talks follow ​​preliminary diplomatic progress​​ made in Geneva last month, and markets are watching closely for any signs of an agreement that could ​​ease trade flows and support commodity demand​​.

​2. OPEC+ Supply Increases Weigh on Prices​

While ​​OPEC+ has been gradually increasing production this year​​, concerns about potential supply disruptions—particularly from ​​major shale producers cutting output due to low prices​​—have helped sustain oil prices.

​3. China’s Economic Data in Focus​

Investors are closely watching ​​China’s upcoming economic data releases​​, including ​​CPI inflation and trade figures​​, for signs of ​​domestic demand strength​​ in the world’s second-largest economy.

​Weak trade data​​, combined with the ​​ongoing impact of US tariffs​​, continues to pressure ​​Chinese manufacturing and export competitiveness​​, which could dampen oil demand if the numbers disappoint.

​Market Sentiment Remains Cautious​

The overall mood in the oil market remains ​​cautiously optimistic​​, with traders waiting for ​​clear signals from the US-China talks​​ and ​​China’s economic data​​ before making significant moves.

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