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Moody’s Upgrades Enerflex Outlook to “Positive” on Strong Deleveraging Trajectory

by jingji38

Rating Action Reflects Improved Financial Flexibility

Moody’s Investors Service has upgraded the outlook for Enerflex Ltd. to “positive” while affirming its Ba3 Corporate Family Rating (CFR), Ba3-PD Probability of Default Rating, and B1 senior secured first lien notes rating. The company’s Speculative-Grade Liquidity (SGL) rating remains unchanged at SGL-2.

Key Drivers of Outlook Upgrade

​Rapid Debt Reduction​​:

Enerflex has demonstrated significant progress in reducing leverage

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Expected to maintain leverage below 2x in the near term

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​Enhanced Financial Flexibility​​:

Deleveraging efforts strengthen the company’s ability to navigate industry cycles

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Reflects commitment to conservative financial policies

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Credit Strengths Supporting the Rating

Enerflex’s Ba3 CFR benefits from several positive factors:

​Low Leverage Position​​: Maintains strong balance sheet metrics

​Recurring Revenue Streams​​:

Particularly from high-margin rental operations

Supported by multi-year, fee-based contracts

Global Operations & Vertical Integration​​:

Enables revenue diversification

Sustains competitive advantages

Rating Constraints

The rating faces limitations from:

​Industry Cyclicality​​:

Exposure to pricing pressures during contract renewals

Periods of reduced capital investment by industry participants

​Cash Flow Limitations​​:

Moderate profit margins

Capital-intensive infrastructure projects

Limited free cash flow generation

​Risk Exposures​​:

Geopolitical risks

Emerging market exposures

Debt Structure Analysis

​First Lien Secured Notes​​:

$563 million senior secured first lien notes (due October 2027) rated B1

One notch below CFR due to subordination

Backed by $800 million first lien revolving credit facility

​Liquidity Position (as of Q1 2025)​​:

Total liquidity sources: ~$825 million

$75 million cash on hand

~$150 million projected free cash flow through 2026

~600millionavailableunder800 million committed revolver (due October 2026)

Accounts for $86 million in letters of credit

Note maturity profile favorable (next maturity in October 2027)

Financial Covenants and Policy

​Credit Facility Covenants​​:

Requires maintenance of net debt/EBITDA ratio below 4x​

​Management’s Approach​​:

Expected to remain in compliance with all financial covenants

Maintains flexibility through potential asset sales

Rating Sensitivities

​Upgrade Triggers​​:

  • Sustained leverage below 2x through 2026
  • Continued free cash flow generation
  • Expansion of contract revenues

​Downgrade Triggers​​:

  • Debt/EBITDA ratio persistently above 3x
  • Persistent negative free cash flow
  • Liquidity deterioration
  • Shift toward more aggressive financial policies

Market Implications

The outlook upgrade to “positive” signals Moody’s confidence in Enerflex’s:

  1. ​​Debt Reduction Trajectory​​
  2. ​​Financial Policy Discipline​​
  3. ​​Ability to Navigate Cyclical Challenges​​

Investors should monitor:

  • Progress on leverage reduction targets
  • Free cash flow generation relative to expectations
  • Contract backlog developments
  • Potential M&A activity or asset sales

The rating action reflects Enerflex’s improved credit profile following strategic initiatives to strengthen its balance sheet while maintaining operational performance in a challenging industry environment.

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